IT economic Predictions 2014
by David Merrill on Dec 20, 2013
Hu Yoshida has recently completed a blog series on 2014 trends and predictions, and I’d like to add a few of my own from an economic or IT finance perspective. As I look back on the 15 years of developing and observing economic trends in IT, I believe there is a new shift ahead of us on how we justify, grow, finance and pay for IT services. I don’t think that the traditions and financial practices of the past will be as relevant in the future.
I have been reading a series of trending and policy documents the last few months, including “The new digital ecosystem reality: Nine trends rewriting the rules of business” and the theories from Clayton Christensen on Disruptive Innovations. Looking through my lens of IT and Storage Economics, I am working through some theories that are a bit more specific to my particular scope. Since this blog post is late in the year, and blog reading is not on top of anyone’s list this time of year, I will outline 4 IT economic trends for the next few years, and then spend more time after the first of the year developing these concepts.
- Depreciation of IT assets will diminish in favor of new ownership and consumption methods
- We will not be able to afford to protect, certify, encrypt all the data (that we want to) with our current practices
- Moore’s Law will not be able to keep up with the rate of growth while holding CAPEX rates flat
- Consumer trends will impact the data center
I hope this holiday season is a restful and happy time for all. I will be back with more IT economic insights in 2014.
Comments (2 )
“We will not be able to afford to protect, certify, encrypt all the data (that we want to) with our current practices”
I totally agree to this issue. The solution would be maybe the meta data. It would be much easier to search meta data (also encrypting on the fly) as maybe different objects types for parsing. So also an secure Communication between meta data search and Client in “isolated” container would be nearby this Vision,
“Consume Trends will Impact data”
Yes indeed – of social Networks Technology would be part of Business communication and documentation nobody will know what happens during the next years
I agree with your observation of meta data. The protection and management of this data may be different than other data sets. Stay tuned for details on these 2014 blog posts. I posted one today on the topic of being able to protect and afford our traditional practices.